Tuesday, May 6, 2008

More bad news for Clinton

With 50% of the vote counted, it looks like Clinton is taking Indiana by ten points (55% / 45%).

With 13% of the vote counted, it looks like Obama is easily taking North Carolina by thirty points (64% / 34%).

These final numbers are going to shift about, but I'm willing to bet it won't shift by that much. Clinton will take Indiana and Obama will take North Carolina. Still, this is a delegate race and not a "who won which state" race, so let's see how this stacks up.

Indiana has 72 pledged delegates. Clinton would gain 40, Obama 32, so Clinton would gain 8 more delegates above and beyond Obama's Indiana delegates.

North Carolina has 115 pledged delegates. Obama would gain 75, Clinton 40, so Obama would gain 35 more delegates above and beyond Clinton's North Carolina delegates.

As a result, Obama gains 28 delegates today... which pushes his delegate lead to 171... which is more than it's ever been in the entire race. She would need to win 79% of the remaining delegates to erase that lead.

I can't imagine why she is still in the race... but then again, this is Hillary Clinton we are talking about.

Back to watching the polls...

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