Wednesday, November 19, 2008

Democrats reach 58

With the Democrats gaining a senate seat in Alaska, the total numbers of the senate have reached 58. Two shy of the fillibuster majority.

The race in Georgia is now going into a special election this December. Since Obama isn't on the ballot, I'm skeptical that there will be enough of a surge in Democratic votes in Georgia to unseat a sitting Republican senator. Then again, stranger things have happened. Let's just say I'm not holding my breath on this one, and we'll see in the first week of December.

The race in Minnesota is definately a wildcard. From all appearances, the Republican won the race, as Al Franken is trailing Norm Coleman by 215 votes, or less than 0.0075%. That margin is so small, that the law in Minnesota requires an automatic recount. The recount starts today, but odds are we won't know the results until sometime in December. Given how recounts rarely ever return the exact same result, and how close the margin of error is, this race might as well be determined by a coin toss. The only thing we can do is wait and see.

Given the situations in both Georgia and Minnesota, odds are pretty long that the Democrats will hit 60 votes. As I said before, I'm happy the Democrats won't have that majority (and will be forced to rule from the center), however there is a theoretical chance they can still reach it.

I'm just happy that on the day before the election, I guessed that the Democrats would get 58 seats in the senate... and it turns out that I actually predicted something correctly for once.

Then again, even a broken clock is right twice a day. :)

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